Real GDP increased by 7.4% y-o-y in Q3 2024, accelerating from 6.9% in Q2, driven by stronger electronics exports and foreign direct investment. We expect these drivers to strengthen and have accordingly revised our growth forecast to 6.8% from 6.0% for 2024 and 7.2% from 6.8% in 2025. A hard landing in the US and a full-blown regional war in the Middle East are the main downside risks to our forecasts.
Providing comprehensive data and in-depth analysis of political, financial and economic risk.
Report includes: BMI’s Core Views, 10-year Forecasts, Economic Risk Index, Political Stability and Risk Index, Long-term Political Outlook, SWOT Analysis and Structural Economic Sections
Why you should buy this report
Understand and measure the political, business environment and operational risks to your company
Gain insight on emerging trends that could support, strengthen or disrupt your activities in the market
Benefit from 10-year macroeconomic forecasts and insight into the structural characteristics of the economy
Get the long-term political outlook and explore possible scenarios for change
Assess your risk exposure with our 100% independent forecasts assessing the pace and stability of this key market. Backed by trusted data from BMI’s proprietary economic forecast model, this report will allow you to measure political, economic, business environment and operational risks with confidence.
Fitch Solutions is a leading provider of financial information, analytics, and credit risk data, serving professionals in banking, investment, government, and corporate sectors. As part of the Fitch Group—alongside Fitch Ratings and Sustainable Fitch—it delivers trusted insight into global markets to help clients make informed decisions.
The company offers a wide range of products and services, including sovereign and corporate credit research, macroeconomic and industry analysis, ESG data, and structured finance tools. Its platforms, such as Fitch Connect and the BMI service, provide in-depth, forward-looking data across more than 200 markets and 150 industries.
Known for its analytical rigor and global expertise, Fitch Solutions combines data-driven intelligence with expert commentary to support strategic planning, credit risk assessment, and investment decision-making. It is widely used by financial institutions, asset managers, multinational corporations, and policy makers around the world.
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